How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Presidential Forecast Works—And What’s Different Because Of COVID-19

I'm largely staying away from talking about data related to the 2020 US presidential election. This is such a fraught topic for almost everyone that I know that I just don't feel like it needs to take over every aspect of my life.

I did, however, really enjoy reading this post from Nate Silver. I absolutely believe that FiveThirtyEight has had the best election forecasts for years (very much including 2016), and I really enjoyed learning how the team has been updating their model for the 2020 election. If you anticipate checking these forecasts on any kind of regular basis in the coming months, this article is highly recommended.


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